3

Land Of Punt

5yo Gelding · 11-10 · OR 96

Clonmel · Ravens Rock Novice Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 3f 145y

#4

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Placed twice over hurdles (including handicap) for Tom Lacey last season. Sold out of that yard for £8,000 after a lesser effort at Aintree in May. The betting should help guide to expectations on first run for new yard.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼3
Strength89%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.5 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.2
Today:
Class gap: +3.3
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Chepstow 05/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 2m16y GS 158 · HIGHER CLASS5/1144 @ Hereford 25/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 2m53y Gd 154 · HIGHER CLASS25/1144 @ Plumpton 26/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m7f195y Sft 159 · HIGHER CLASS26/0145 @ Haydock 05/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 101 · 2m5f50y Goo 164 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/03/2026 · OR 101 par5/035OR 1014 @ Aintree 15/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 100 · 2m209y Gd 159 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/05/2026 · OR 100 par15/054OR 100projClass-projected finish: 1st of 19
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-15Aintree46th2nd+4
2026-03-05Haydock53rd0th+3
2026-01-26Plumpton43rd-1th+4
2025-11-25Hereford45th1st+4
2025-11-05Chepstow49th5th+4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/1125/1126/015/0315/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1978% of fieldRange 1-19 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength67%

Delivery trend -4.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 19. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/11/20259th5/287%38%-0.48
25/11/20255th33/10%56%+0.56
26/01/20263rd14/126%71%+0.45
05/03/20263rd3/184%75%-0.09
15/05/20266th10/382%44%-0.38