14

Nunya

5yo Mare · 10-5 · OR 77

Clonmel · Ravens Rock Novice Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 3f 145y

#9

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Lightly-raced maiden. 250/1, eleventh of 19 in novice hurdle at Cork (17f, soft). Off 9 months. Makes handicap hurdle debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.9 /10 (raw 9.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Tipperary 06/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 2m100y Goo 1526/10C8C8 @ Galway 25/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 2m90y Yie 15025/10C8C8 @ Thurles 27/11/2025 · Pos 10th of 17 · OR - · 2m11y Goo 14627/11C8C8 @ Cork 07/12/2025 · Pos 11th of 19 · OR - · 2m200y Sft 1597/12C8projClass-projected finish: 15th of 19
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-12-07Cork?11th12th−1
2025-11-27Thurles?10th11th−1
2025-10-25Galway?9th10th−1
2025-10-06Tipperary?7th8th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/1025/1027/117/12
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1961% of fieldRange 4-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength59%

Delivery trend +13.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 19. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/10/20257th80/10%14%+0.14
25/10/20259th300/10%0%0.00
27/11/202510th250/10%44%+0.44
07/12/202511th250/10%44%+0.44