Portetta
5yo Mare · 11-2 · OR 88
Clonmel · Ravens Rock Novice Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 3f 145y
#8
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | Worcester | 5 | 9th | 6th | +3 |
| 2026-06-11 | Worcester | 4 | 6th | 2nd | +4 |
| 2026-05-04 | Down Royal | BHA94 | 10th | 12th | −2 |
| 2025-12-29 | Limerick | BHA96 | −2 | ||
| 2025-11-16 | Cheltenham | 2 | 8th | 1st | +6 |
| 2025-07-15 | Downpatrick | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 15th of 19.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/03/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 12/04/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 14/05/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 93% | +0.30 |
| 12/06/2025 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |
| 15/07/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 16/11/2025 | 8th | 125/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 04/05/2026 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 11/06/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 01/07/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 20% | -0.38 |