6
South Of Killerig
6yo Gelding · 11-5 · OR 91
Clonmel · Ravens Rock Novice Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 3f 145y
#18
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#18
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Downpatrick | BHA93 | 9th | 11th | −2 |
| 2026-08-16 | Tramore | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-09-25 | Listowel | BHA102 | 16th | 19th | −3 |
| 2025-07-11 | Kilbeggan | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-06-07 | Punchestown | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-05-16 | Kilbeggan | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish18th of 196% of fieldRange 12-19 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength4%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 18th of 19.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08/2024 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 77% | +0.40 |
| 30/08/2024 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |
| 26/09/2024 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 36% | -0.32 |
| 16/05/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 07/06/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |
| 11/07/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 43% | -0.33 |
| 25/09/2025 | 16th | 14/1 | 26% | 6% | -0.20 |
| 16/08/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 31/08/2026 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |