14
Bangor Lady
6yo Mare · 10-2 · OR 74
Clonmel · Glenary Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 6f 170y
#17
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#17
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 9.2 /10 (raw 9.8)
Highest class: BHA77
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Kilbeggan | BHA77 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Sligo | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Tramore | BHA79 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Sligo | BHA80 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-12-02 | Clonmel | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-18 | Limerick | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish17th of 1911% of fieldRange 7-19 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength22%
Delivery trend -1.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 17th of 19.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10/2025 | 13th | 150/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 18/11/2025 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 12/05/2026 | 13th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 30/05/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 09/06/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 30% | -0.23 |
| 24/07/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |