18

Drumconnor Hill

5yo Gelding · 11-9 · OR 95

Clonmel · Glenary Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 6f 170y

#14

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Lightly-raced maiden. Pulled up in handicap hurdle at Galway (2¾m, soft, 20/1) 24 days ago, left behind 3 out. RESERVE.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 7.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Killarney 11/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 2m4f50y Goo 15811/05C8C8 @ Ballinrobe 26/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 2m13y Goo 15826/05C8C8 @ Wexford 23/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 2m150y Gd 15823/07C8C8 @ Wexford 07/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 2m180y Goo 1587/08C8projClass-projected finish: 12th of 19
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07GalwayBHA970
2026-08-07Wexford?10th10th0
2026-07-23Wexford?7th7th0
2026-05-26Ballinrobe?4th4th0
2026-05-11Killarney?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0526/0523/077/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 1917% of fieldRange 6-19 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength14%

Delivery trend -9.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 16th of 19. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/05/20268th66/10%36%+0.36
26/05/20264th50/10%79%+0.79
23/07/20267th10/147%50%+0.03
07/08/202610th40/10%31%+0.31