15
Finnicky Filly
8yo Mare · 10-2 · OR 74
Clonmel · Glenary Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 6f 170y
#18
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#18
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: BHA75
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Kilbeggan | BHA76 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Sligo | BHA78 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Roscommon | BHA75 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Kilbeggan | BHA80 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Limerick | BHA76 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Clonmel | BHA80 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1928% of fieldRange 9-16 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength35%
Delivery trend +0.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 19.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/04/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 73% | +0.26 |
| 19/04/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 24/04/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 93% | +0.38 |
| 14/05/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 64% | +0.17 |
| 21/05/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 69% | +0.14 |
| 31/05/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 62% | +0.14 |
| 08/06/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 73% | +0.18 |
| 12/07/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 36% | +0.20 |
| 24/07/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 73% | +0.18 |