12
Kared'as De Cougny
6yo Gelding · 10-6 · OR 78
Clonmel · Glenary Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 6f 170y
#6
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 10.6 /10 (raw 9.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-27 | Clonmel | BHA81 | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2025-01-28 | Limerick | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-01-15 | Clonmel | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-01-01 | Tramore | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2024-12-13 | Cork | ? | 0 | ||
| 2024-11-26 | Tramore | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1972% of fieldRange 5-19 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength35%
Delivery trend +2.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 19. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10/2024 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 83% | +0.25 |
| 26/11/2024 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 30% | +0.14 |
| 01/01/2025 | 13th | 66/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 15/01/2025 | 12th | 150/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 28/01/2025 | 4th | 200/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 27/02/2025 | 16th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |