6

Maxicourt

5yo Gelding · 11-3 · OR 89

Clonmel · Glenary Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 6f 170y

#15

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Couple of good placed efforts this summer but was a bit below par at Navan 12 days ago. The suspicion is the wait for a first win will go on.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength23%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 7.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA98 @ Cork 07/12/2025 · Pos 14th of 24 · OR 98 · 2m4f Sft 156 · below its mark07/12/2025 · OR 98 par7/1298OR 98C8 @ Thurles 20/12/2025 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR 97 · 2m26y Yie 166 · below its mark20/12/2025 · OR 97 parBHA95 @ Tramore 20/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR 95 · 2m80y Goo 163 · below its mark20/04/2026 · OR 95 par20/0495OR 95BHA93 @ Cork 10/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR 93 · 2m3f50y Goo 149 · below its mark10/05/2026 · OR 93 parBHA88 @ Cork 10/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 23 · OR 88 · 2m1f60y Goo 156 · below its mark10/07/2026 · OR 88 par10/0788OR 88BHA90 @ Cork 03/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR 90 · 2m1f Goo 158 · below its mark03/08/2026 · OR 90 parBHA89 @ Tramore 13/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR 89 · 2m4f100y Gd 161 · below its mark13/08/2026 · OR 89 par13/0889OR 89BHA89 @ Killarney 22/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR 89 · 2m4f50y Goo 160 · below its mark22/08/2026 · OR 89 parBHA90 @ Navan 19/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR 90 · 2m3f Goo 158 · below its mark19/09/2026 · OR 90 par19/0990OR 90projClass-projected finish: 4th of 19
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-19NavanBHA908th8th0
2026-08-22KillarneyBHA893rd3rd0
2026-08-13TramoreBHA895th5th0
2026-08-03CorkBHA907th7th0
2026-07-10CorkBHA883rd3rd0
2026-05-29TramoreBHA900

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/1210/0513/0819/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1933% of fieldRange 7-19 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength25%

Delivery trend -5.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 13th of 19. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/12/202514th25/10%43%+0.43
20/12/202510th40/10%25%+0.25
20/04/20268th17/255%53%-0.02
10/05/20269th12/137%43%+0.06
10/07/20263rd28/10%91%+0.91
03/08/20267th2/189%60%-0.29
13/08/20265th9/276%73%-0.03
22/08/20263rd5/174%86%+0.12
19/09/20268th13/266%50%-0.16