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7yo Gelding · 11-5 · OR 91

Clonmel · Glenary Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 6f 170y

#12

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#12

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Remains a maiden after 16 runs but was a good fourth of 14 in handicap hurdle at Wexford (2½m, good) 34 days ago, not ideally placed. First-time cheekpieces are added to the tongue tie he's worn on last 3 starts.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA98 @ Clonmel 27/03/2025 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 98 · 2m2f152y Goo 166 · below its mark27/03/2025 · OR 98 par27/0398OR 98BHA98 @ Clonmel 15/05/2025 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR 98 · 2m3f137y Gd 166 · below its mark15/05/2025 · OR 98 parBHA100 @ Limerick 29/05/2025 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 100 · 2m3f50y Goo 168 · below its mark29/05/2025 · OR 100 par29/05100OR 100BHA100 @ Cork 04/08/2025 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 100 · 2m2f100y Goo 158 · below its mark04/08/2025 · OR 100 parBHA99 @ Kilbeggan 09/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 99 · 2m Goo 167 · below its mark09/08/2025 · OR 99 par9/0899OR 99C0 @ Tramore 09/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 2m4f80y Yie 166BHA95 @ Clonmel 23/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 95 · 2m4f219y Goo 164 · below its mark23/10/2025 · OR 95 par23/1095OR 95BHA92 @ Kilbeggan 10/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR 92 · 3m180y Goo 160 · below its mark10/07/2026 · OR 92 parBHA91 @ Wexford 28/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 91 · 2m4f100y Gd 159 · below its mark28/08/2026 · OR 91 par28/0891OR 91projClass-projected finish: 6th of 19
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28WexfordBHA914th4th0
2026-07-10KilbegganBHA9211th11th0
2025-10-23ClonmelBHA954th4th0
2025-10-09Tramore?4th4th0
2025-08-23KillarneyBHA980
2025-08-09KilbegganBHA997th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/034/0823/1028/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1967% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength98%

Delivery trend +2.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 19. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/03/20252nd12/137%92%+0.55
15/05/20252nd11/271%93%+0.22
29/05/20254th5/493%77%-0.17
04/08/20259th4/179%33%-0.46
09/08/20257th5/174%54%-0.20
09/10/20254th7/163%67%+0.04
23/10/20254th10/147%77%+0.30
10/07/202611th22/10%29%+0.29
28/08/20264th14/126%77%+0.51