11
Tedworth
6yo Gelding · 10-9 · OR 81
Clonmel · Glenary Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 6f 170y
#7
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#7
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class: BHA77
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Galway | BHA82 | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-28 | Wexford | BHA82 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Killarney | BHA83 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Tramore | BHA83 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-14 | Clonmel | BHA83 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Tramore | BHA77 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1939% of fieldRange 13-19 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength6%
Delivery trend -5.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 19. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 65% | +0.49 |
| 25/08/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 70% | +0.33 |
| 05/09/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 02/10/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 77% | +0.30 |
| 12/10/2025 | 11th | 15/2 | 61% | 38% | -0.23 |
| 19/04/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 14/05/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 79% | -0.07 |
| 16/07/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 54% | -0.09 |
| 28/08/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 77% | +0.11 |