5
Always Angels
6yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 96
Delaware Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-01-09 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength24%
Delivery trend -7.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 83% | +0.57 |
| 25/09/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 71% | +0.06 |
| 22/11/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 33% | -0.55 |
| 09/01/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 08/03/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 02/04/2026 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 80% | -0.15 |
| 26/04/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |
| 05/07/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 20% | -0.67 |
| 23/08/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 57% | -0.06 |