Always Forward
6yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 73
Delaware Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-31 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 03/05/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 09/05/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 21/05/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 07/06/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 25/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 31/07/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 14/08/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.01 |
| 27/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 88% | +0.06 |