6
Skip Thru Da Fire
5yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 69
Delaware Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength43%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-03-28 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 7-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 01/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 08/03/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 28/03/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 11/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 24/04/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 33% | -0.30 |
| 07/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |
| 31/07/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 60% | -0.06 |
| 15/08/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |