7

Curlins Cruzin

5yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 82

Delaware Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength50%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Monmouth Park 18/08/2024 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 79 · 1m Slo 117 · below its mark18/08/2024 · OR 79 par18/08C8OR 79C8 @ Monmouth Park 19/07/2025 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 83 · 1m Fm 119 · below its mark19/07/2025 · OR 83 parC8 @ Delaware Park 04/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 82 · 6f 122 · below its mark04/06/2026 · OR 82 par4/06C8OR 82C8 @ Delaware Park 20/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 83 · 5f110y 122 · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 83 parC7 @ Delaware Park 08/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 80 · 5f110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/07/2026 · OR 80 par8/07C7OR 80C7 @ Delaware Park 29/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 82 · 5f110y Slo 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/07/2026 · OR 82 parC7 @ Delaware Park 15/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 84 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/08/2026 · OR 84 par15/08C7OR 84C7 @ Delaware Park 11/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 83 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/09/2026 · OR 83 parC8 @ Delaware Park 18/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 84 · 6f 122 · below its mark18/09/2026 · OR 84 par18/09C8OR 84projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-18Delaware Park?2nd2nd0
2026-09-11Delaware Park?7th6th+1
2026-08-15Delaware Park?5th4th+1
2026-07-29Delaware Park?4th3rd+1
2026-07-08Delaware Park?2nd1st+1
2026-06-20Delaware Park?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0820/0615/0818/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength51%

Delivery trend -2.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/08/20244th8/158%50%-0.08
19/07/202512th50/10%0%0.00
04/06/20262nd9/488%83%-0.05
20/06/20261st15/261%100%+0.39
08/07/20262nd7/282%80%-0.02
29/07/20264th13/266%50%-0.16
15/08/20265th9/153%33%-0.19
11/09/20267th12/137%14%-0.23
18/09/20262nd7/491%83%-0.07