Prom Knight

5yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 71

Delaware Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▬

Strength24%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C7.3

Today:

Class gap: +0.2

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-11	Delaware Park	?	6th	5th	+1	5.2
2026-08-08	Delaware Park	?	8th	8th	0	2.0
2026-07-30	Delaware Park	?	1st	1st	0	9.0
2026-07-04	Delaware Park	?	7th	7th	0	3.0
2026-06-18	Delaware Park	?	6th	6th	0	4.0
2026-05-27	Delaware Park	?	4th	4th	0	6.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%

▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only

Trend▼

Strength1%

Delivery trend -3.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
13/03/2026	4th	40/1	0%	67%	+0.67
13/05/2026	6th	33/1	0%	29%	+0.29
21/05/2026	3rd	9/2	76%	67%	-0.10
27/05/2026	4th	10/1	47%	40%	-0.07
18/06/2026	6th	12/1	37%	29%	-0.08
04/07/2026	7th	16/1	16%	33%	+0.18
30/07/2026	1st	16/1	16%	100%	+0.84
08/08/2026	8th	9/1	53%	0%	-0.53
11/09/2026	6th	20/1	0%	29%	+0.29