Sutherland
7yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 87
Delaware Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Canterbury Park | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-04-23 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-03-07 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-26 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-11-12 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 86% | +0.03 |
| 24/09/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 57% | -0.27 |
| 12/10/2025 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 50% | -0.39 |
| 12/11/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 26/12/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 15/02/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 70% | +0.23 |
| 07/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 89% | +0.18 |
| 23/04/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 13/09/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |