1
This Run's For You
6yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 94
Delaware Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
9/5
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
95%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2024-09-22 | Meadowlands | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2024-09-14 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2024-08-30 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +4.4% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06/2024 | 7th | 5/2 | 87% | 25% | -0.62 |
| 21/07/2024 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 16/08/2024 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 30/08/2024 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 14/09/2024 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 22/09/2024 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 04/06/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 18/07/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 08/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 71% | -0.17 |