2

Broderick

4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 78

Delaware Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 70y

#8

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Gulfstream 05/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 81 · 1m Fas 123 · beat its mark05/03/2026 · OR 81 par5/03C8OR 81C8 @ Gulfstream 21/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 84 · 1m Fas 123 · below its mark21/03/2026 · OR 84 parC8 @ Gulfstream 05/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 83 · 7f Fas 124 · below its mark05/04/2026 · OR 83 par5/04C8OR 83C7 @ Delaware Park 23/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 82 · 1m70y 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/05/2026 · OR 82 parC8 @ Delaware Park 11/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 76 · 1m70y 121 · below its mark11/06/2026 · OR 76 par11/06C8OR 76C8 @ Delaware Park 04/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 71 · 6f Fas 122 · below its mark04/07/2026 · OR 71 parC8 @ Delaware Park 30/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 76 · 6f 122 · below its mark30/07/2026 · OR 76 par30/07C8OR 76C8 @ Penn National 18/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 79 · 1m70y Fas 121 · beat its mark18/08/2026 · OR 79 parC8 @ Delaware Park 03/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 81 · 1m 121 · below its mark03/09/2026 · OR 81 par3/09C8OR 81projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Delaware Park?3rd3rd0
2026-08-18Penn National?1st1st0
2026-07-30Delaware Park?9th9th0
2026-07-04Delaware Park?6th6th0
2026-06-11Delaware Park?7th7th0
2026-05-23Delaware Park?8th7th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0323/0530/073/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength99%

Delivery trend +6.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/03/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
21/03/20264th8/158%40%-0.18
05/04/20265th14/126%20%-0.06
23/05/20268th12/137%0%-0.37
11/06/20267th16/116%25%+0.09
04/07/20266th16/116%44%+0.29
30/07/20269th20/10%27%+0.27
18/08/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
03/09/20263rd12/137%78%+0.41