6
Freedom Stance
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 75
Delaware Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Delaware Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-09-03 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Turfway Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-23 | Turfway Park | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-12-26 | Turfway Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength41%
Delivery trend -4.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 86% | -0.01 |
| 02/10/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 15/11/2025 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/12/2025 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 17% | -0.46 |
| 23/01/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 15/03/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 44% | +0.08 |
| 24/07/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 03/09/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |
| 12/09/2026 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |