7
Let's Have A Party
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 95
Delaware Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#1
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
31%
Place Prob
36%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength68%
Delivery trend -0.2% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/02/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |
| 29/03/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/04/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 56% | +0.40 |
| 16/05/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 11/06/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 10/07/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |
| 07/08/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 57% | -0.11 |
| 22/08/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 12/09/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 57% | -0.06 |