6
Golden Ellie
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 71
Delaware Park · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 4-13 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength16%
Delivery trend -1.6% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 8th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 13/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 29/05/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 20/06/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 14/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |
| 29/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |
| 18/09/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 73% | +0.04 |