Lady Of Troy
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 79
Delaware Park · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 5.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-05-30 | Monmouth Park | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-04-26 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-04-11 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 44% | +0.29 |
| 11/04/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 26/04/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 30/05/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 16/08/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 07/09/2026 | 4th | 7/4 | 91% | 67% | -0.24 |