12
Shesa Mischieflady
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 67
Delaware Park · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-19 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +11.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 19/12/2025 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 13% | -0.56 |
| 24/06/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 22/07/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 43% | -0.43 |
| 09/08/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 27/08/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 06/09/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |