Tiz Awesome
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 64
Delaware Park · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
10%
Place Prob
23%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-06-13 | Monmouth Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -13.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/2025 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 21/09/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 15/10/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 23/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 13/06/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/06/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 55% | +0.02 |
| 26/07/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 09/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 04/09/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 25% | -0.62 |