Uncommon
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 65
Delaware Park · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#10
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 6.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Penn National | ? | 9th | 6th | +3 |
| 2026-08-13 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-07-12 | Colonial Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-06-21 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-03-30 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 9th | 6th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/02/2025 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 44% | -0.41 |
| 30/03/2025 | 9th | 11/4 | 86% | 27% | -0.58 |
| 21/06/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 70% | -0.14 |
| 12/07/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 13% | -0.40 |
| 13/08/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 20/08/2026 | 9th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 18/09/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 55% | -0.14 |