6
Clean Winner
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 70
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#10
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-30 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-21 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 7-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength15%
Delivery trend +1.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/11/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 04/01/2026 | 10th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 08/02/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 21/03/2026 | 6th | 10/11 | 95% | 17% | -0.79 |
| 09/05/2026 | 1st | 2/5 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 15/08/2026 | 3rd | 1/1 | 95% | 50% | -0.45 |
| 22/08/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 30/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/6 | 96% | 50% | -0.46 |
| 07/09/2026 | 3rd | 4/7 | 97% | 33% | -0.64 |