8
Gold Lady
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 70
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
14%
Place Prob
22%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength28%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Penn National | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Penn National | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-06-17 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 4-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength30%
Delivery trend -7.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/03/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 23/04/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 15/05/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 17/06/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 63% | +0.47 |
| 25/06/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 09/07/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 31/07/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 19/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 75% | -0.19 |
| 09/09/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |