Lilliput
4yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 68
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#9
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-08 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/04/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 16/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 28/05/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 18/06/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 08/07/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 24/07/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 07/08/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 20% | -0.41 |
| 27/08/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 11/09/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |