2
No Denying
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 69
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 2.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-30 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 8-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength7%
Delivery trend -6.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 31/05/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 14/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |
| 05/07/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 25/07/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 80% | -0.12 |
| 15/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 30/08/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 25% | -0.51 |
| 12/09/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |