13

Sweet And Feisty
4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 56
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength28%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-09-05 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 7-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -6.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/05/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 04/06/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/06/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 14% | -0.67 |
| 08/07/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 01/08/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 29% | -0.32 |
| 13/08/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 60% | -0.29 |
| 22/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 75% | -0.13 |
| 05/09/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 24/09/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |