Sweet Summer Love
5yo Mare · 8-13 · OR 67
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-08-01 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 28/05/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 10/06/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 24/06/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 22/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |
| 01/08/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 14/08/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |
| 28/08/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 18/09/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |