7

Andolin

3yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 61

Delaware Park · Race 6 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 70y

#6

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength22%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 3.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Delaware Park 11/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m Fm 11811/09C9C6 @ Delaware Park 11/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 71 · 7f110y Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/10/2025 · OR 71 par11/10C6OR 71C6 @ Delaware Park 17/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 82 · 5f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark17/06/2026 · OR 82 par17/06C6OR 82C9 @ Delaware Park 01/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 68 · 1m70y Gd 122 · below its mark01/07/2026 · OR 68 par1/07C9OR 68C9 @ Delaware Park 15/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 80 · 5f Fm 119 · below its mark15/08/2026 · OR 80 par15/08C9OR 80C9 @ Colonial Downs 04/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 73 · 5f110y Fm 119 · beat its mark04/09/2026 · OR 73 par4/09C9OR 73projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Colonial Downs?1st3rd−2
2026-08-15Delaware Park?3rd5th−2
2026-07-01Delaware Park?4th6th−2
2026-06-17Delaware Park?5th4th+1
2025-10-11Delaware Park?2nd1st+1
2025-09-11Delaware Park?4th6th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0911/1017/061/0715/084/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +8.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/09/20254th9/153%57%+0.05
11/10/20252nd16/116%86%+0.70
17/06/20265th6/168%20%-0.48
01/07/20264th11/271%50%-0.21
15/08/20263rd9/276%71%-0.05
04/09/20261st25/10%100%+1.00