9

Irish Indygo

4yo Colt · 10-0 · OR 62

Delaware Park · Race 6 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 70y

#9

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength3%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Monmouth Park 25/08/2024 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 5f110y Fas 117 · HIGHER CLASS25/08C6C9 @ Laurel Park 09/11/2024 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 79 · 7f Fas 122 · below its mark09/11/2024 · OR 79 parC6 @ Monmouth Park 11/05/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 72 · 5f110y Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/05/2025 · OR 72 par11/05C6OR 72C9 @ Monmouth Park 26/05/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 69 · 1m70y Fas 119 · below its mark26/05/2025 · OR 69 parC9 @ Monmouth Park 10/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 64 · 6f Fas 123 · below its mark10/05/2026 · OR 64 par10/05C9OR 64C9 @ Monmouth Park 21/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 60 · 6f Fas 123 · below its mark21/06/2026 · OR 60 parC9 @ Monmouth Park 18/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 59 · 1m110y Fm 123 · below its mark18/07/2026 · OR 59 par18/07C9OR 59C9 @ Monmouth Park 15/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 61 · 1m110y Fm 125 · beat its mark15/08/2026 · OR 61 parC9 @ Colonial Downs 06/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 75 · 1m110y Fm 124 · beat its mark06/09/2026 · OR 75 par6/09C9OR 75projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06Colonial Downs?1st3rd−2
2026-08-15Monmouth Park?2nd4th−2
2026-07-18Monmouth Park?5th7th−2
2026-06-21Monmouth Park?6th8th−2
2026-05-10Monmouth Park?5th7th−2
2025-05-26Monmouth Park?4th6th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0826/0518/076/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength72%

Delivery trend +2.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/08/20246th20/10%55%+0.55
09/11/20246th4/179%55%-0.24
11/05/202510th15/261%18%-0.42
26/05/20254th9/153%25%-0.28
10/05/20265th12/137%43%+0.06
21/06/20266th14/126%0%-0.26
18/07/20265th33/10%50%+0.50
15/08/20262nd9/276%86%+0.09
06/09/20261st7/282%100%+0.18