IvyArcIvyArc
11

One Bid

3yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 66

Delaware Park · Race 6 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 70y

#11

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Gulfstream 07/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 63 · 1m110y Fas 122 · below its mark07/03/2026 · OR 63 par7/03C9OR 63C9 @ Gulfstream 20/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 62 · 1m 122 · below its mark20/03/2026 · OR 62 parC9 @ Gulfstream 04/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 58 · 1m110y 120 · below its mark04/04/2026 · OR 58 par4/04C9OR 58C9 @ Gulfstream 18/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 52 · 1m70y Fas 120 · below its mark18/04/2026 · OR 52 parC9 @ Monmouth Park 16/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 56 · 1m70y 119 · beat its mark16/05/2026 · OR 56 par16/05C9OR 56C9 @ Monmouth Park 06/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 61 · 1m70y Fas 119 · below its mark06/06/2026 · OR 61 parC9 @ Monmouth Park 20/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 70 · 1m110y Fm 119 · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 70 par20/06C9OR 70C8 @ Monmouth Park 14/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 71 · 1m110y Fm 120 · below its mark14/08/2026 · OR 71 parC7 @ Delaware Park 19/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 77 · 1m110y Gd 118 · below its mark19/09/2026 · OR 77 par19/09C7OR 77projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-19Delaware Park?7th7th0
2026-08-14Monmouth Park?4th5th−1
2026-06-20Monmouth Park?1st3rd−2
2026-06-06Monmouth Park?3rd5th−2
2026-05-16Monmouth Park?3rd5th−2
2026-04-18Gulfstream?6th8th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0318/0420/0619/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength48%

Delivery trend +6.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/03/20265th10/147%33%-0.14
20/03/20268th16/116%13%-0.03
04/04/20269th25/10%0%0.00
18/04/20266th33/10%17%+0.17
16/05/20263rd7/163%71%+0.08
06/06/20263rd9/488%71%-0.17
20/06/20261st14/126%100%+0.74
14/08/20264th20/10%40%+0.40
19/09/20267th33/10%25%+0.25