6
It's The Law Baby
2yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 68
Delaware Park · Race 8 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: -1.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-03 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-08-15 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-07-21 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-06-24 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength45%
Delivery trend -14.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 21/07/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 15/08/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 03/09/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 16/09/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 40% | -0.44 |