2

She's A Dancer

2yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 68

Delaware Park · Race 8 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

88%

Place Prob

62%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 1.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Delaware Park 13/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 5f110y 11913/08C9C7 @ Delaware Park 16/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 67 · 5f110y Fas 118 · beat its mark16/09/2026 · OR 67 par16/09C7OR 67projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-16Delaware Park?2nd2nd0
2026-08-13Delaware Park?1st3rd−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0816/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength100%

Delivery trend -3.3% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/08/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
16/09/20262nd13/266%80%+0.14