Tiz Candy

2yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 59

Delaware Park · Race 8 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▬

Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.5

Today:

Class gap: 0.0

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-29	Monmouth Park	?	7th	5th	+2	5.4
2026-07-18	Ellis Park	?	1st	3rd	−2	6.6

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 2-2 · 68%

▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only

Trend▲

Strength89%

Delivery trend +6.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
18/07/2026	1st	7/2	82%	100%	+0.18
29/08/2026	7th	33/1	0%	25%	+0.25