5

We Goin

2yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 65

Delaware Park · Race 8 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

8%

Place Prob

19%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength22%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Belmont At The Big A 14/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR - · 5f110y Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS14/05C6C6 @ Saratoga 06/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 61 · 6f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/08/2026 · OR 61 par6/08C6OR 61C9 @ Delaware Park 12/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 61 · 5f110y 119 · beat its mark12/09/2026 · OR 61 par12/09C9OR 61projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Delaware Park?1st3rd−2
2026-08-06Saratoga?9th8th+1
2026-05-14Belmont At The Big A?4th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/056/0812/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength91%

Delivery trend -3.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/05/20264th20/10%25%+0.25
06/08/20269th20/10%11%+0.11
12/09/20261st7/282%100%+0.18