Metodo
3yo Colt · 8-8 · OR 61
Delaware Park · Race 9 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
36%
Place Prob
29%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.6 /10 (raw 2.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-16 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-09-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 0th | +3 |
| 2025-07-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -21.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 20/09/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/11/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 75% | +0.17 |
| 28/08/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |