2
Saint Cloud
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 50
Delaware Park · Race 9 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Gulfstream | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-01-30 | Gulfstream | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-12-18 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 8-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -7.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08/2024 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 14/09/2024 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 05/07/2025 | 9th | 5/1 | 74% | 11% | -0.63 |
| 18/12/2025 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 25% | -0.54 |
| 30/01/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 21/02/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 25/04/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 11/06/2026 | 4th | 5/6 | 96% | 25% | -0.71 |
| 03/09/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |