3

Uncle Zeb
5yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 61
Delaware Park · Race 9 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
22%
Place Prob
23%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength13%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-20 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-23 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-11 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-27 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength90%
Delivery trend +4.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 57% | -0.06 |
| 03/06/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 20% | -0.54 |
| 18/06/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 27/06/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 11/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 23/07/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 20/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |
| 29/08/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 11/09/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |