1
Liams Fancy
2yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 76
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 1 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
8/5
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
94%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 1.7 /10 (raw 1.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Hawthorne | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-18 | Hawthorne | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +12.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06/2026 | 2nd | 8/11 | 96% | 80% | -0.16 |
| 12/07/2026 | 1st | 8/15 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 01/09/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |