IvyArcIvyArc
6

C V Holly

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 43

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y

#4

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength60%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 3 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 6.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 3

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 20/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 6f 121 · HIGHER CLASS20/05C6C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 02/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 33 · 5f Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/06/2026 · OR 33 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 09/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 22 · 1m110y Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/06/2026 · OR 22 par9/06C6OR 22C9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 07/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 88 · 6f 120 · below its mark07/07/2026 · OR 88 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 16/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 32 · 5f Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/07/2026 · OR 32 par16/07C6OR 32C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 04/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 32 · 1m Fm 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/08/2026 · OR 32 parC9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 20/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 40 · 1m Slo 120 · beat its mark20/08/2026 · OR 40 par20/08C9OR 40C9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 14/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 40 · 6f 122 · beat its mark14/09/2026 · OR 40 par14/09C9OR 40projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd3rd0
2026-08-20Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2026-08-04Horseshoe Indianapolis?10th7th+3
2026-07-16Horseshoe Indianapolis?10th7th+3
2026-07-07Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th5th0
2026-06-09Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th2nd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/057/0720/0814/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +6.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/05/20266th20/10%0%0.00
02/06/202612th50/10%0%0.00
09/06/20265th40/10%20%+0.20
07/07/20265th33/10%20%+0.20
16/07/202610th100/10%0%0.00
04/08/202610th50/10%0%0.00
20/08/20264th33/10%50%+0.50
14/09/20263rd20/10%50%+0.50