Foxy Mademoiselle

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 44

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▼2

Strength64%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.8

Today:

Class gap: +1.7

Higher-class runs: 2

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-15	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	7th	7th	0	3.0
2026-08-11	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	7th	4th	+3	6.0
2026-06-18	Hawthorne	?	4th	1st	+3	9.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%

▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price

Trend▲

Strength96%

Delivery trend +28.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
18/06/2026	4th	8/1	58%	0%	-0.58
11/08/2026	7th	25/1	0%	0%	0.00
15/09/2026	7th	25/1	0%	0%	0.00