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8

High Dollar Dolly

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 58

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y

#3

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

11%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength71%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Churchill Downs 19/06/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 5f Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS19/06C6C9 @ Turfway Park 28/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 72 · 6f110y 119 · below its mark28/12/2025 · OR 72 parC9 @ Turfway Park 03/01/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 71 · 1m110y 120 · below its mark03/01/2026 · OR 71 par3/01C9OR 71C9 @ Turfway Park 19/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 63 · 6f 120 · below its mark19/02/2026 · OR 63 parC6 @ Mahoning Valley 05/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 49 · 5f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/03/2026 · OR 49 par5/03C6OR 49C6 @ Mahoning Valley 23/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 52 · 5f110y Slo 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/03/2026 · OR 52 parC9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 29/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 58 · 6f Fas 120 · beat its mark29/04/2026 · OR 58 par29/04C9OR 58C9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 12/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 60 · 1m Fas 120 · beat its mark12/05/2026 · OR 60 parC9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 04/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 66 · 1m Fm 120 · below its mark04/06/2026 · OR 66 par4/06C9OR 66projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-04Horseshoe Indianapolis?8th8th0
2026-05-12Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd2nd0
2026-04-29Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd3rd0
2026-03-23Mahoning Valley?3rd0th+3
2026-03-05Mahoning Valley?2nd-1th+3
2026-02-19Turfway Park?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0619/0229/044/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength82%

Delivery trend -0.2% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/06/20256th14/126%29%+0.02
28/12/20257th12/137%45%+0.09
03/01/202610th20/10%18%+0.18
19/02/20268th10/147%30%-0.17
05/03/20262nd12/137%80%+0.43
23/03/20263rd7/282%67%-0.15
29/04/20263rd6/168%75%+0.07
12/05/20262nd13/266%86%+0.20
04/06/20268th14/126%22%-0.04