1
Le Bien Le Mal
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 57
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength47%
Delivery trend +6.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 06/03/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 15/04/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 29/04/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.22 |
| 12/05/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 04/06/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 23/06/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 15/07/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 13% | -0.14 |
| 09/09/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |