
Super Pachi
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 68
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
10%
Place Prob
22%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2025-09-12 | Churchill Downs | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-08-23 | Ellis Park | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-06-18 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-06-05 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/04/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 15/05/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 60% | -0.28 |
| 05/06/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 88% | +0.09 |
| 18/06/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |
| 23/08/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 64% | +0.16 |
| 12/09/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 24/06/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 05/08/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |