3

Super Pachi

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 68

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

10%

Place Prob

22%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength61%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Keeneland 23/04/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 4f110y Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS23/04C6C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 15/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 61 · 5f Slo 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/05/2025 · OR 61 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 05/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 55 · 5f Slo 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/06/2025 · OR 55 par5/06C6OR 55C9 @ Churchill Downs 18/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 57 · 5f110y Fas 119 · beat its mark18/06/2025 · OR 57 parC7 @ Ellis Park 23/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 59 · 5f110y Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/08/2025 · OR 59 par23/08C7OR 59C9 @ Churchill Downs 12/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 64 · 6f110y Fas 119 · below its mark12/09/2025 · OR 64 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 24/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 64 · 5f Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/06/2026 · OR 64 par24/06C6OR 64C9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 05/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 62 · 6f Fas 120 · below its mark05/08/2026 · OR 62 par5/08C9OR 62projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-05Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2026-06-24Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th4th+3
2025-09-12Churchill Downs?9th9th0
2025-08-23Ellis Park?5th3rd+2
2025-06-18Churchill Downs?3rd3rd0
2025-06-05Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd-1th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0418/0624/065/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength93%

Delivery trend +2.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/04/20257th40/10%33%+0.33
15/05/20253rd9/488%60%-0.28
05/06/20252nd4/179%88%+0.09
18/06/20253rd7/163%75%+0.12
23/08/20255th10/147%64%+0.16
12/09/20259th25/10%20%+0.20
24/06/20267th66/10%0%0.00
05/08/20264th25/10%40%+0.40