6
Palm Tree
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 100
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 3 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
8%
Place Prob
15%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-07-29 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-07-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-05-03 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength67%
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 06/03/2025 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 57% | -0.32 |
| 13/04/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 03/05/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 91% | +0.09 |
| 04/07/2025 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 55% | -0.28 |
| 29/07/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 64% | -0.13 |
| 14/07/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |
| 04/08/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |
| 31/08/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |