Spirit Of Royal
3yo Colt · 8-6 · OR 89
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 3 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 6.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Churchill Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Churchill Downs | ? | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-03-21 | Fair Grounds | ? | 7th | 2nd | +5 |
| 2026-02-06 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 9th | 4th | +4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-12-13 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +9.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/2025 | 12th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 26/09/2025 | 9th | 5/2 | 87% | 27% | -0.60 |
| 26/10/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 13/12/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 70% | +0.17 |
| 02/01/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 06/02/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 21/03/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 02/05/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 12/09/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |